Here are two simulators you can try to see if you can predict the stock market using randomly selected historical data from actual markets. But once you see how futile trying to time the markets is, here is some food for thought on how you can be a more successful long-term investor.

When you see the stock market in the news, remember you are looking at 100% equity stock indexes. A proper portfolio will be diversified across multiple markets and asset classes.

The reason buy and hold can work so well, is that it's hard to beat, and is simple to understand. But careful! Simple doesn't not mean easy!

"Easy" Market timing simulator 1: https://qz.com/487013/this-game-will-...

"Hard" Market timing simulator 2: https://engaging-data.com/market-timi...

00:00 Intro
01:00 Most dangerous words in investing
01:15 Action Bias
02:45 Why market timing is so hard
04:15 "Easy" market timing simulator
05:00 "Hard" market timing simulator
06:08 Is your portfolio more conservative than a single index?
07:00 Stress testing a Balanced Portfolio vs a Stock Index
08:15 Why a balanced portfolio might work better for some

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