Clash of the Titans 2022
Economic Research Council Economic Research Council
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 Published On Jun 14, 2023

The Economic Research Council ran its eleventh annual Clash of the Titans economic forecasting event, which brought together three thought leaders in economics in the UK.

Titans each predicted figures for GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, earnings growth and interest rates, as well as a black swan event which could upset their forecasts. The audience and others then entered their own predictions and everyone competes over the following year, with the winning titan and leading public entrant crowned at the next event.

This year's titans are:

Stephen Millard, Deputy Director for Macroeconomics, Modelling and Forecasting at NIESR

Prior to joining NIESR, Stephen held a number of policy, analyst and research positions at the Bank of England, stretching over 26 years. He has been a Visiting Professor at Durham University Business School since 2011, and at Portsmouth University since 2021. Stephen’s main areas of research are inflation dynamics, the labour market, monetary and macroprudential policy and their interaction, and the effects of the move to net zero on monetary policy and the macroeconomy, making him very well placed to forecast the macroeconomic indicators that comprise this competition.

Yael Selfin, Chief Economist at KPMG

Yael is Chief Economist at KPMG in the UK. Her research centres on the impact major issues including Brexit and other geopolitical events are likely to have on the economy as well as on individual businesses. Prior to joining KPMG in 2014 she worked at two independent economic consultancies as well as at PwC for over 14 years, where she set up and led their Macro Consulting business, as well as oversaw their international economic research. She has a BSc in Economics from UCL and did further studies in Advanced Econometrics at LSE. She also has a Chartered Accountant qualification.

Innes McFee, Chief Global Economist and Managing Director of Macroeconomics and Investor Services at Oxford Economics

Innes has worked at Oxford Economics since 2017. Prior to becoming Managing Director for Macroeconomics, Modelling and Forecasting, he was Director for Stress Testing, Scenarios, and Financial Modelling. Prior to his time at Oxford Economics, he held a number of Economist roles at institutions such as the Department of Health, HM Treasury, and Lloyds Banking Group.

And our host for the evening, Linda Yueh, Economist, Broadcaster, and Author

Dr Linda Yueh is Fellow in Economics, St Edmund Hall, Oxford University and Adjunct Professor of Economics, London Business School. She is also Visiting Professor at LSE IDEAS and Chair of the LSE Economic Diplomacy Commission. Her book, The Great Economists: How Their Ideas Can Help Us Today, was The Times’ Best Business Books of 2018. Aside from her academic work, Linda is also a TV and radio presenter, including for BBC Radio 4 and the World Service. She has been Chief Business Correspondent for BBC News as well as Economics Editor at Bloomberg TV.

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