China's real estate industry is collapsing in slow motion. Major developers like Evergrande and Country Garden remain stuck in spiraling debt problems. So-called 'ghost cities' dot the Chinese countryside. And now the International Monetary Fund just cut its global growth forecasts for 2024 and called out China's real estate crisis as a big reason why.

"It's important to recognize that there is a longer-term challenge here, and that is we essentially have too large a construction sector in China, we have too large a real estate sector because underlying demand for apartments is declining," said Frederic Neumann, HSBC chief Asia economist, in an interview with CNBC. "We have slowing urbanization. We have declining demographics."

China's overall post-pandemic economic recovery has been less than stellar. Youth unemployment is at record levels, gross domestic product forecasts have been lowered and the ongoing real estate crisis has been hitting consumer confidence and foreign investment in the country.

Beijing is now attempting to alleviate the sector's pressure with several policy moves like lowering minimum down payments and allowing for the adjustment of mortgage rates. The spillover effects on the global economy, though, could create headwinds for years to come, said Neumann."China's shrinking real estate sector over the coming years will really have a huge impact on heavy industry, on the commodity markets globally," he said. "There's going to be less steel demand. There’s going to be less cement being used — less glass, for example. That impacts within China heavy industrial areas that really produce these raw materials."

Watch the video above to learn more about where the sector goes from here.

Chapters:
00:00 — Introduction
02:28 — Housing sector weakness
06:47 — Government intervention
09:08 — Bifurcation
12:04 — What’s next?

Produced by: Christian Nunley
Edited by: Christian Nunley and Brad Howard
Supervising Producer: Jeff Morganteen
Production Support: Kate Sammer

» Subscribe to CNBC: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBC
» Subscribe to CNBC TV: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBCtelevision

About CNBC: From 'Wall Street' to 'Main Street' to award winning original documentaries and Reality TV series, CNBC has you covered. Experience special sneak peeks of your favorite shows, exclusive video and more.

Connect with CNBC News Online
Get the latest news: https://www.cnbc.com/
Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: https://cnb.cx/LinkedInCNBC
Follow CNBC News on Facebook: https://cnb.cx/LikeCNBC
Follow CNBC News on Twitter: https://cnb.cx/FollowCNBC
Follow CNBC News on Instagram: https://cnb.cx/InstagramCNBC

#CNBC


Will China’s Real Estate Crisis Hit The Global Economy?